6 May 2005

Pollsters Continue To Grope In The Dark

They're all over the place in the British elections too - here and here. Though every opinion poll predicted a Labour win correctly, the actual size of the majority for Labour seems to have eluded most. The number ranged from just under 100 to 158. The actual majority is around 70 with some 9 seats yet to be declared (most sites are calling the majority around 60 though, for instance here and here - don't know what I'm missing).

The BBC exit poll seems to have done a lot better predicting a majority of 66.

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